ASX 200 Live Market Analysis: Top Stocks & Commodities Update for July 30, 2026 (2026)

Good morning! Welcome to our live ASX 200 coverage for Thursday, July 30. Expect a high volume of posts pre-market and more periodic updates throughout the day. We'll be wrapping the blog up around 2:00 pm AEST.

Market Highlights

  • ASX 200 Futures: Down 51 pts (-0.57%)
  • US Benchmarks: Major US benchmarks tumbled and finished at worst levels
  • S&P 500: Aggressively sold off in the last hour of trade, flipping from a ~0.2% gain to a negative close
  • Fed Hold: Hawkish Fed hold, as three policymakers dissented in favour of a quarter-point hike, the most one-directional dissent since 2016
  • US 30-Year Yields: Spiked to the highest since 2007
  • Iran-US Tensions: Iran fired missiles at US bases in Jordan and Trump vowed retaliation, sending Brent up 6% to US$88 a barrel

Company News

  • Perseus Mining: Missed on Q4 output and costs as AISC ran above estimates
  • NAB: Business lending grows 4% in June quarter as watch loans climb 8%
  • Predictive Discovery: Poured 64,026 oz as Kiniéro ramp-up lifts output 33%, cash tops US$364m
  • Pantoro: Missed on Q4 costs and cash, reaffirms FY27 guidance
  • Domino's: Reaffirmed FY26 underlying earnings but flags $259m in write-downs and a statutory loss
  • Pilbara Minerals: Beat on Q4 output and shipments, guides FY27 production up to 1,100kt
  • Boss Energy: Hits revised FY26 guidance with record Q4 uranium output and brings forward feasibility study
  • Resolute: Lifts net cash to US$317m as gold production tracks 2026 guidance

Global Markets

  • Divided Fed: Holds rates in first three-way dissent since 2016 as Warsh doubles down on less guidance
  • Oil Surge: Oil surges as US-Iran fighting resumes, cutting across stalled Hormuz talks
  • Meta Tumbles: Meta tumbles as EPS misses on legal charges and AI spending
  • Starbucks Tops: Starbucks tops estimates on 70% EPS jump, lifts FY26 guidance
  • Microsoft Beats: Microsoft beats as Azure surpasses $100bn, guides to accelerating cloud growth
  • Kospi Plunges: Kospi plunges 16% in two days as retail selling triggers back-to-back circuit breakers
  • JPMorgan's Trading Desk: Flags a tactical S&P 500 buy signal, days after Dimon warned off stocks
  • Chip Stocks Shed: Chip stocks shed more than $1 trillion as AI selloff deepens
  • Wall Street Sinks: US stocks close sharply lower as a chip rout and surging long-end yields collide with resurgent oil
  • US 30-Year Treasury Yield: Hitting highest since 2007 as Fed holds and drops forward guidance
ASX 200 Live Market Analysis: Top Stocks & Commodities Update for July 30, 2026 (2026)

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